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OF GEOMETRIC AND ARITHMETIC MEAN WHICH IS MOST IMPORTANT?
GEOMETRIC
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WHAT ARE NOMINAL RATES OF RETURN (R)?
THE RETURN THAT WE OBSERVE DIRECTLY
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WHAT ARE REAL RATES OF RETURN (r)?
THE RETURN THAT PURGES THE RATE OF INFLATION
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WHAT IS THE FISHER EFFECT?
THE FACT THAT THE NOMINAL RATE SHOULD HAVE A RELATION WITH THE EXPECTED INFLATION RATE
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IN TERMS OF ASSET ALLOCATION, ALL ASSETS CAN BE BROUGHT DOWN TO 2 CLASSES. WHAT ARE THEY?
- RISKY ASSETS
- RISK FREE ASSETS (T-BILLS)
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IF A PORTFOLIO DOES CONTAIN BOTH RISKY AND RISK FREE ASSETS IT IS CALLED A
COMPLETE PORTFOLIO
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WHAT IS A CAPITAL ALLOCATION LINE?
PLOT OF RISK RETURN COMBINATIONS AVAILABLE BY VARYING PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION B/W A RISK FREE ASSET AND RISKY PORTFOLIO
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WHAT IS THE SLOPE OF A CAL LINE CALLED ?
SHARPE RATIO
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EVERY PORTFOLIO ON THE SAME CAL HAS THE SAME.......
REWARD TO VOLATILITY RATIO
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IF THE RISKY PORTFOLIO CONSIDERED IS THE MARKET PORTFOLIO, CAL BECOMES THE
CAPITAL MARKET LINE (CML)
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WHAT IS RISK AVERSION?
THE EXTENT TO WHICH SOMEONE DISLIKES RISK
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THE GREATER RISK AVERSION LEADS TO A
LARGER PROPORTION OF FUNDS BEING INVESTED INTO THE RISK FREE ASSET
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WILLINGNESS TO ACCEPT HIGHER LEVELS OF RISK FOR HIGHER LEVELS OF RETURNS MAY RESULT IN
LEVERAGED COMBINATIONS (BORROWING FUNDS TO INVEST IN THE RISKY PORTFOLIO)
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WHAT IS MARKET RISK?
- DUE TO FACTORS COMMON TO THE WHOLE ECONOMY
- ( CANNOT BE ELIMINATED)
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WHAT IS ANOTHER TERM FOR MARKET RISK?
SYSTEMATIC RISK AND NONDIVERSIFIABLE RISK
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WHAT IS UNIQUE RISK?
- DUE TO FACTORS SPECIFIC TO ONE OR A FEW COMPANIES
- (CAN BE ELIMINATED)
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WHAT IS ANOTHER TERM FOR UNIQUE RISK?
FIRM SPECIFIC RISK, IDIOSYNCRATIC RISK, NONSYSTEMATIC RISK OR DIVERSIFIABLE RISK
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BY INCLUDING DIFFERENT SECURITIES IN A PORTFOLIO, THE UNIQUE RISK (BUT NOT THE MARKET RISK) OF SECURITIES TEND TO CANCEL OUT AS....
THE # AND TYPE OF SECURITIES INCREASE
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THE SMALLER THE CORRELATION COEFFICIENT.....
THE GREATER THE RISK REDUCTION POTENTIAL FOR THE PORTFOLIO
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IF p= anything over one then
NO RISK REDUCTION
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WITH MANY RISKY ASSETS, THE ASSET COMBINATIONS THAT RESULT IN THE LOWEST LEVELS OF RISK FOR GIVEN RETURNS (OR THE HIGHEST RETURNS FOR GIVEN LEVELS OF RISK) ARE...........
OPTIMAL
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THE OPTIMAL COMBINATIONS ARE DESCRIBED AS THE.......
EFFICIENT FRONTIER
THESE COMBINATIONS/PORTFOLIOS ARE DOMINANT
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IF THERE EXISTS A RISK FREE ASSET, THE COMBINATIONS OF A RISKY PORTFOLIO AND THE RISK FREE ASSET WILL....
DOMINATE
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WHEN YOU HAVE MANY RISKY ASSETS AND A RISK FREE ASSET THE OPTIMAL COMIBINATIONS RESULT IN A
LINEAR EFFICIENT FRONTIER
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SHOULD THE REWARD TO VOLATILITY RATIO (SHARPE RATIO) BE BIG OR SMALL?
BIG!!
IT IS THE COMPENSATION PER UNIT OF S.D
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WHAT IS THE CAPM MODEL?
AN EQUILBRIUM MODEL THAT UNDERLIES MODERN FINANCE THEORY
SHOWS RELATION B/W RISK AND RETURN
DERIVED USING PRINCIPLES OF DIVERSIFACTION W/ SIMPLIFIED ASSUMPTIONS
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WHAT ARE THE ASSUMPTIONS FOR CAPM?
INVESTORS ARE PRICE TAKERS
SINGLE PERIOD INVESTMENT HORIZON
INVESTMENTS LIMITED TO TRADED FINANCIAL ASSETS
INVESTORS ARE RATIONAL MEAN VARIANCE OPTIMIZERS
INFORMATION IS COSTLESS AND AVAILABLE TO ALL INVESTORS
INVESTORS HAVE HOMOGENOUS EXPECTATIONS
UNLIMITED BORROWING AND LENDING AT THE RISK FREE RATE
NO TAXES AND NO TRANSACTION COSTS
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WHAT IS RISK PREMIUM?
RATE OF EXPECTED RETURN IN EXCESS OF THE RISK FREE RATE
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WHAT IS EXCESS RETURN?
RATE OF REALIZED RETURN IN EXCESS OF THE RISK FREE RATE
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RESULTING EQUILIBRIUM STATES THAT ALL INVESTORS HOLD THE SAME PORTFOLIO OF____________
RISKY ASSETS
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WHAT IS THE MUTUAL FUND THEOREM?
THE MARKET PORTFOLIO CONTAINS ALL SECURITIES IN THE MARKET, AND THE PROPORTION OF EACH SECURITY IN THIS PORTFOLIO IS ITS MARKET VALUE AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE ENTIRE MARKET
- A $5B .5 5/10
- B $3B .3 3/10
- C $2B .2 2/10
- _____________________
- 10B 1 1
- $5
- A=5/.5= 2.50
- B=5/.3=1.50
- C=5/.2=1.00
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IN CAPM, WHAT IS PORTFOLIO BETA?
THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE OF THE INDIVIDUAL BETAS WHERE THE WEIGHT OF A SECURITY IS THE PROPORTION OF FUNDS INVESTED IN THAT SECURITY
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WHAT IS A SECURITY MARKET LINE (SML)?
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THE EXPECTED RETURN-BETA RELATION AS PREDICTED BY THE CAPM
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WHAT IS A SECURITY CHARACTERISTIC LINE (SCL)?
A PLOT OF A SECURITY'S EXCESS RETURN AS A FUNCTION OF THE MARKETS EXCESS RETURN.
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WHAT IS ALPHA?
THE ABNORMAL RETURN ON A SECURITY IN EXCESS OF WHAT WOULD BE PREDICTED BY CAPM
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WHAT IS ARBITRAGE PRICING THEORY (APT)?
ARISES IF AN INVESTOR CAN CONSTRUCT A ZERO INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO WITH A SURE PROFIT DUE TO SECURITY MISPRICING
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WHAT IS A ZERO INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO?
A PORTFOLIO WITH ZERO NET INVESTMENT ESTABLISHED BY BUYING ONE SECURITY OR PORTFOLIO AND SHORTING ANOTHER AT THE SAME TIME
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DIFFERENCES B/W APT AND CAPM?
APT APPLIES TO WELL DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIOS AND NOT NECESSARILY TO INDIVIDUAL STOCKS
WITH APT IT IS POSSSIBLE FOR SOME INDIVIDUAL STOCKS TO BE MISPRICED- NOT LIE ON THE SML
APT IS MORE GENERAL IN THAT IT GETS TO THE EXPECTED RETURN AND BETA RELATIONS WITHOUT THE ASSUMPTION OF THE MARKET PORTFOLIO
APT DOES NOT SPECIFY HOW MANY FACTORS SHOULD BE INCLUDED IN THE MODEL
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WHAT IS THE EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS?
PRICES OF SECURITIES SHOULD FULLY REFLECT ALL AVAILABLE INFORMATION
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WHAT IS THE EMH RATIONALE?
COMPETITION- EVERYONE LOVES A FREE LUNCH
AS LONG AS PRICES DO NOT REFLECT ALL AVAILABLE INFORMATION AND ARBITRAGE OPPORRTUNITIES EXIST, COMPETITION AMONG INVESTORS WILL MAKE THE PRICES TO REFLECT ALL INFORMATION
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WHAT ARE THE EMH PREDICTIONS?
STOCK PRICES SHOULD FOLLOW A RANDOM WALK--- SHORT TERM PRICE CHANGES ARE RANDOM AND UNPREDICTABLE
EXPECTED RETURN SHOULD STILL BE POSITIVE IN THE LONG RUN
THE PRICE OF A (NON DIVIDEND PAYING) STOCK SHOULD HAVE A POSITIVE TREND IN THE LONG RUN BUT BE RANDOM AROUND THE TREND.
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WHAT IS WEAK FORM EMH?
ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THE HISTORY OF PAST TRADING IS REFLECTED ONTO PRICES
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WHAT IS SEMI-STRONG EMH?
ALL PUBLICLY AVAILABLE INFORMATION
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WHAT IS STRONG FORM EMH?
ALL RELEVANT INFORMATION, INCLUDING INSIDER INFORMATION
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IN TERMS OF EMH, WHAT IS ACTIVE MANAGEMENT?
FOCUS ON SECURITY ANALYSIS AND TIMING
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IN TERMS OF EMH, WHAT IS PASSIVE MANAGEMENT?
BUYING A WELL-DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO WITHOUT ATTEMPTING TO FIND MISPRICED SECURITIES
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IF THE MARKET IS EFFICIENT, WHY PRACTICE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT?
DIVERSIFICATION
TAX CONSIDERATION
MATCHING INVESTORS RISK PREFERENCES
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WHAT HAS BEEN SEEN FROM MUTUAL FUND AND PROFESSIONAL MANAGER PERFORMANCE?
MIXED EVIDENCE OF PERSISTENT POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE PERFORMANCE
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WHAT ARE EMPIRICAL ANOMALIES?
RETURN PATTERNS THAT ARE NOT SUPPOSED TO OCCUR IF THE EMH HOLDS, YET WE OBSERVE THEM IN REALITY
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INVESTOR BEHAVIORAL BIASES
WHAT ARE FORECASTING ERRORS?
TOO MUCH WEIGHT IS PLACED ON RECENT EXPERIENCES
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INVESTOR BEHAVIORAL BIASES
WHAT IS OVERCONFIDENCE?
INVESTORS OVERESTIMATE THEIR ABILITIES AND THE PRECISION OF THEIR FORECASTS
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INVESTOR BEHAVIORAL BIASES
WHAT IS CONSERVATISM?
INVESTORS ARE SLOW TO UPDATE THEIR BELIEFS AND UNDER REACT TO NEW INFORMATION
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INVESTOR BEHAVIORAL BIASES
WHAT IS SAMPLE SIZE NEGLECT/REPRESENTATIVENESS
INVESTORS ARE TOO QUICK TO INFER A PATTERN OR TREND FROM A SMALL SAMPLE
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INVESTOR BEHAVIORAL BIASES HUMAN BEHAVIOR
WHAT IS FRAMING?
HOW THE RISK IS DESCRIBED, EX. RISKY LOSSES VS RISKY GAINS, CAN AFFECT INVESTOR DECISIONS
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INVESTOR BEHAVIORAL BIASES HUMAN BEHAVIOR WHAT IS MENTAL ACCOUNTING?
INVESTORS MAY SEGREGATE ACCOUNTS IN THEIR MIND AND TAKE RISKS WITH THEIR GAINS THAT THEY WOULD NOT TAKE WITH THEIR PRINCIPAL.
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INVESTOR BEHAVIORAL BIASES HUMAN BEHAVIOR
WHAT IS REGRET AVOIDANCE?
INVESTORS BLAME THEMSELVES MORE WHEN AN UNCONVENTIONAL OR RISKY BET TURNS OUT BADLY
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INVESTOR BEHAVIORAL BIASES HUMAN BEHAVIOR
WHAT IS PROSPECT THEORY?
UTILITY DEPENDS ON CHANGES INSTEAD OF LEVELS OF CURRENT WEALTH
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INVESTOR BEHAVIORAL BIASES HUMAN BEHAVIOR
WHAT IS THE DISPOSITION EFFECT?
THE TENDENCY OF INVESTORS TO HOLD LOSERES TOO LONG AND SELL WINNERS TOO SHORT.
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WHAT ARE SECURED BONDS?
- MORTGAGE BONDS (BY PROPERTY)
- COLLATERAL TRUST BOND (BY SECURITIES)
- EQUIPMENT OBLIGATION BOND (BY EQUIPMENTS)
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WHAT ARE UNSECURED BONDS?
DEBENTURE
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WHAT IS A SINKING FUND?
THE ISSUER HAS TO PERIODICALLY REPURCHASE SOME PROPORTIONS OF ITS OUTSTANDING BOND PRIOR TO MATURITY
IN THE OPEN MARKET
USE THE CALL PROVISION (THE SINKING FUND CALL)
PAYMENTS TO A TRUSTEE (UNCOMMON)
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MOST BONDS IN THE US HAVE A PAR VALUE OF _$__________ AND MAKE _____________ COUPON PAYMENTS
$1000, SEMIANNUAL
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BOND PRICE AND THE DISCOUNT RATE (THE YIELD TO MATURITY) HAVE A(N) ______________ RELATIONSHIP, HOWEVER, THE RELATIONSHIP IS NOT LINEAR BUT, ____________. THIS PROPERTY OF BOND PRICES IS CALLED ___________.
INVERSE, CONVEX, CONVEXITY
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WHAT IS Current Yield?
Annual coupon/bond price
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What is Yield to (first) Call?
- Same formula as yield to maturity, but:
- Call price replaces par (face) value
Call date replaces maturity
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WHAT IS A Premium Bond
Bond price > Par value
Coupon rate > Current yield > Yield to maturity
Bond price will decline to par over its maturity
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WHAT IS A Discount Bond
Bond price < Par value
Yield to maturity > Current yield > Coupon rate
Bond price will increase to par over its maturity
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zero Coupon bond is a type of ?
DISCOUNT BOND
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WHAT IS Default risk?
How likely the issuer will NOT be able to make the specified payments
- The higher the default risk, the higher the
- default premium
- A component of the yield to maturity
- A compensation for investors to bear the default risk
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What is the Term Structure of Interest Rates?
The relation between the yields to maturity and terms to maturity across bonds, holding other things equal
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What is a Yield curve?
A graphic representation of the above relation, usually employs the yields on Treasury securities
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What is the Expectations Hypothesis?
- The observed long-term rate (in)
- over n periods is the result of observed short-term rate (i) and future
- short-term rate(s)
The future short-term rate is called the forward rate (f)
(1+in) n= (1+i)t(1+f) n-t
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What is the Liquidity Preference Theory?
Investorsdemand a liquidity premium on long-term bonds
- Liquidity premium-The extra expected return demanded by investors as compensation for the “illiquidity”
- on longer term bonds
- Holding
- other things equal, the long-term rate (yield) should be higher than the
- short-term rate (yield)
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The
liquidity preference theory alone would always predict a(n) ________________
- upward-sloping yield
- curve
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WHAT ARE SOME OTHER NAMES FOR GEOMETRIC RATES OF RETURN?
TIME WEIGHTED, CHAIN LINKED
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WHICH IS MORE IMPORTANT, GEOMETRIC MEAN OR ARITHMETIC MEAN?
GEOMETRIC
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