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sensitivity
- proportion of peopke w/the disease who have a positive test for the disease
- Sensitivity = a/(a+c)
- (TP / (TP + FN)
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Specificity
- proportion of people withou the disease who have a negative test
- Specificity = d/(b+d)
- (TN / (TN + FP))
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Positive predicitve value
- Positive Predictive Value = a/(a+b)
- (TP / (TP + FP))
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Negative Predictive Value
- NPV = d/(c+d)
- (TN/ (TN + FN)
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Bias
- any trend in the collection, analysis, interpretation, publication or review of data that canlead to conclusions that are systematically different from the truth
- Selection bias – comparisons between groups that differ in ways other than the mainfactors being studied
- Measurement – measurement different between the 2 groups
- Confounding bias – if factor associated with actual cause-
- Bias can often be prevented by proper study design and corrected through analysisbut the role of chance can only be reduced not eliminated by these measures
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Internal Validity
the degree to which the results of a study are correct for the sample of patients being studied
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external validity
the degree to which results of an observation hold true in other settings
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cluster
occurence of a group of cases in a circumscribed place and time (anecdotal evidence)
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epidemic
occurence of a disease at a rate greater than expected
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pandemic
worlwide epidemic; epidemic crossing continental borders
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endemic
habitual presence of a disease within a given geographical area
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disease transmission
mechanism by which an infectious agrent is spread from a source or reeservoir to another person
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point source outbreak
common source outbreak where the exposre ocurs in less than one incubation period
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continuous source outbreak
common source outbreak where the exposure occurs over multiple incubation periods
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propogated epidemic
transmission occurs from person to person
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epidemiology
the study of the distribution and determinants of healh related states or events in specified human populatios and its application to the control of health problems
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biostatistics
help us understad the role of chance
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descriptive epidemiology
understand and describe the epidemiological triad and concepts of person, place, and time; no interventions provided; assessment of potential causes
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ecological studies
- aka population or correlation studies
- compare disease rates b/w populations
- exposure is only known for groups, not individuals in the groups
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incidence
number of NEW cases of disease that occur during specified period of time in a population at risk
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cumulative incidence (CI)
incidence when all individuals are at risk for the entire period of time studied
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incidence Rate/density (ID)
dfft individuals observed for different lengths of time; denominator is the sum of the lengths of time (often expressed as person-years)
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crude mortality rate
the mortality rate in a population for all causes of death during a given time period
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cause specific mortality rate
the number of deaths from a specified cause per 100,000 person-years at risk
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case-fatality rate (CFR)
death rate from a specific disease among individuals during a specified period of time (ie. proportion of patients who die of a disease)
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Attack Ratio (AR)
incidence of disease among a population at risk observed for a limited period of time, often due to a very specific exposure
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Birth rate
number of live births in a population over a given period, usually a year
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General fertility rate
live births in a population with the denominator restricted to the number of women of childbearing age over a given period
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