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Ripeness theory
Mutually hurting stalement. When warring parties are locked into a conflict that is mutually painful and both believe that they cannot escalate to victory, the prospects for a negotiated outcome improve significantly. By William Zartman.
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Theory of mediation
A limited number of high-calibre mediators are required, using a range of skills and tactics, supplemented by various diplomatic tracks. Mediation interventions may not necessarily seek to resolve the conflict, but form part of a limited or incremental approach that seeks to mitigate or contain the violence.
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Theory of reconciliation
To achive peace, long-term efforts are required to promote sustained dialogue, improved relationships and trust among all social groups, not just between the principal adversaries.
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Power-sharing theory
An inclusive, nationalpolitical process should seek to establish robust institutions to share or divide state power, as this increases the prospects of an enduring peace.
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Credible commitment theory
Power-sharing political process requires the involvement of trusted third parties that are willing to provide political and security guarantees.
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Analysis of spoilers theory
Certain parties, or elements of the warring parties, will seek to disrupt negotiations: strategies will be required to ‘induce’ or integrate some and marginalize, coerce or contain certain others.
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Local peace-building theory
Efforts should be made tostrengthen community capacities to resolve disputes peacefully, develop trust and social cohesion within and between communities and promote interāethnic and inter-group dialogue.
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