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Was sind Futures und Forwards?
Was ist der Unterschied?
- beides sind verbindliche Terminkontrakte
- -> Verpflichtung zur Lieferung/Kauf
Futures werden börslich gehandelt und haben feste Vertragsparameter
Forwards werden nicht börslich gehandelt, sondern OTC und sind individueller
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Was ist Delta Hedging?
- Delta ist einer der „Griechen“
- “Das Verhältnis der Änderung des Optionspreises zur Änderung des zugrundeliegenden Aktienkurses“
- -> Anzahl der Aktien, die wir für jede Shor-Position halten müssen, um ein risikoloses Portfolio zu bilden
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Which position can PP owner choose?
What does it cause?
- PP owner can always choose between producing and selling electricity or buying it for cheaper on the market
- they create demand & supply
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Name characteristics of the (EEX) Spot Market
- trading in power, natural gas and CO2 emission rights
- power day-ahead auctions (24/7)
- 24h of the respective next day can be traded in 1h-intervals or block orders (Baseload 1-24, Peakload 9-20, Night 1-6, Rush Hour 17-20, Business 9-16)
- continuous power intraday trading until 75min before delivery, delivery on the same/next day in single hours/blocks
- participants submit their price offer/bid curves
- ↳ EEX system prices are equilibrium prices
- EEX day prices = average of 24 single hours
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Name facts about the day-ahead auctions
- 24/7 auctions
- 24h of the respective day in 1h-blocks/intervalls
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Name facts about the Intraday auctions
Continuous trading until 75min before delivering in single hours/blocks
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Phelix Base / Price development
- price seems to hover around instead of clearly rising/falling:
- ->no clear Drift, more like a constant movement
- ->longterm equilibrium in the market (needs have to be satisfied longterm)
- -> ups/downs due to shortage/transport problems/overproduction
- -> extreme spikes due to non-storability of electricity
- —>electricity demand is rather inelastic while supply is going down: demand will react to shortages with high jumps (no flexibility)
- negative prices: grid security, non-storability and unflexibility of PPs while short times of low demand costs
- after financial crisis: rise of renewables lead to fewer spikes (renewable energy law changed priority in the market = REs eating profitable lunchtime hours due to zero marginal costs)
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Characteristics of Electricity
- not storable
- homogeneous
- different production ways
- production on demand
- high demand fluctuation
- no short-term electricity in demand
- high price volatility due to renewables in-feed
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Electricity Markets
A centralised platform where participants can exchange electricity transparently according to the price they are will ti pay/receive and according to the capacity of the electrical network.
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Fixed Gate Auctions
- Participants submit sell/buy orders for several areas&hours
- submissions are closed at a pre-specified time (closure)
- market is cleared
- —> day-ahead
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Continuous-time Auction
- Participants continuously submit orders, orders are stored
- Each time a deal is feasible, it‘s executed
- —> intra-day
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EEX - traded products
- Future contracts for GER & FRA with delivery periods: week, month, quarter, year
- GER: single days and weekends
- European style options on futures
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EPEX - traded products
- Auction day-ahead and continuous intra-day market
- products are individual hours, baseload, peakload, blocks of continuous hours
- Intraday market is open 24/7 and products can be traded until 30mins before delivery
- GER 15min contracts possible
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Day-ahead Market
- correct longterm production schedule
- sell expensive and buy cheap hours for flexible PPs
- adjust residual load profiles
- renewables can not sell averages due to intermittent production (long term)
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Intra-day Market
trading (quarter) hours until 30min before start of period; continuously during the day
- Motivation for trading intraday:
- ⇾ correct/optimise the day-ahead position
- ⇾ optimise PP usage
- ↳generator can run their PP or buy electricity if cheaper
- customer can optimise their demand
- renewables can react to changes in the forecast
- balancing quarter-hour ramps with quarter-hour contracts (buy while starting and sell if overproduction occurs)
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