-
IBC role
- Lead on national issues
- Forecast and respond to industry issues;
- Anticipate opportunities to influence change supporting companies’ business needs
- Lobby fed and prov for changes in public policy to benefit insurers and customers
-
Desired characteristics that would make flood insurable in Canada
- Risk base rates (actuarially sound) to have enough fund for compensations (and not subsidize)
- Deductibles to encourage preventive behavior/awareness of the risk by public
- Exclude flood prone areas (not eligible) to maintain premiums affordable for low level risks
-
Reasons overland flood was not available in Canada / deemed uninsurable
- adverse selection: only high risks would purchase coverage
- Underinvestment in infrastructure by the government
- Flood maps not up to date
-
4 preconditions essential to establishing a strong flood risk mgt culture (based on international experience)
- Accurate and up-to-date flood maps
- Investment in flood defences
- Public awareness and understanding of financial impact and how to mitigate flood losses
- Limited recourse to gov revenue to compensate for losses
-
Trends that make financial mgt of flood risk increasingly problematic
- Growth in population and asset values
- Concentration of urban development in flood-prone areas
- More violent weather patterns
- Increase in vulnerability of infrastructure due to obsolete building codes and under-investment in flood defense
-
Ways to discourage development in high risk zones and encourage risk mitigation
- Require houses in high risk zones to have a flood protection system in place
- Large deductible for high risk zones to encourage loss control
-
Insurers often end up paying for sig portion of flood losses - Reasons
- overland flood usually comes with SBU. hard to determine which caused loss
- for major flood, insurers often pay to avoid reputational damage and political pressures.
-
Approach to the financial mgt of flood risk can be categorized based on 6 variables
- Private vs. publicly administered programs
- Voluntary vs. mandatory ins take-up
- Optional vs. bundled coverage
- Risk-based vs. gov mandated pricing
- Policyholder-funded vs. taxpayer-funded subsidization of high-risk properties (or neither)
- Gov as insurer vs. enabler of ins
-
Private vs. Public models
- Private:
- market-based,
- risk-based pricing
- gov intervention limited to investment in risk assessment and mitigation.
- Public:
- strong gov involvement in provision, funding and design of flood insurance.
- gov set prices and terms of coverage (similar social assistance)
-
Optional vs. bundled
- optional as endorsement to standard HO
- bundled into package with other optional perils (EQ)
- bundled into standard HO
- moral hazard:: only high risks will buy and not enough incentive for risk mgt
- bundled mandatory: reduces adverse selection as mandatory
- allocation of costs:: difficult since only high risks buy.
- bundled mandatory: spread cost among all insured
-
Flood insurance - Germany
- private market-based system, largely deregulated, no backing from gov, reinsurance from international market
- bundled with other natural perils; optional
- take up rate 30%
- adeq risk-based pricing made possible by gov thru
- restrict dev in flood-prone areas
- nationwide flood mapping tool
- 4 risk zones used by all insurers
- Very low = > 200; Insurable
- Low = 50-200; / Moderate = 10-50; insurable, if mitigation measures taken
- High = < 10, Uninsurable
-
Flood insurance - Italy
- private market; optional & bundled with EQ
- take-up low (<10%); due to overall property insurance take-up low (35%) and cultural reasons (gov responsible for natural disaster losses)
-
Flood insurance - Russia
- private market; optional coverage
- expensive; low take-up (low take up on overall insurance)
-
Flood insurance - Japan
- gov-sponsored flood risk mgt initiative / investment in risk mitigation to enable private offering
- private;
- part of a standard HO; co-insurance (insurers cover up to 70%) to maintain incentives for risk reduction
- take-up rates low
-
Flood insurance - UK (roles)
- private; mandatory as part of standard HO
- Insurers:
- UW and price policies
- handle claims
- gov:
- flood mapping
- restrict development in flood‐prone area
- p.h.:
- pay premiums invest
- participate in risk mitigation (to reduce own losses)
-
Evaluation of UK Flood
despite the effort, still unsustainable and being reformed, given worsening of weather and insufficient investment in infrastructure
-
Flood insurance - UK (Flood Re)
- risk sharing pool; gov to backstop excess losses,
- operated by insurers as not-for-profit fund to subsidize coverage for high risks to enable transition to risk-based pricing over 25 years
- Insurers required to insure high risks. If risk-based premium > cap, consumer pays cap and insurer can cede it (cap premium and the risk) to Flood Re
-
Limited role of government in Flood Re agreement
- Set price ceilings, anticipated to increase over time
- financial support in extraordinary CATs > capacity of pool
- Investing in new and improved flood defenses
-
Flood insurance - US
- National Flood Insurance Program; joint by private and gov
- HO can purchase NFIP coverage if in approved areas (1-in-100 year floodplains annd must satisfy floodplain mgt req'ts
- Fed (thru FEMA) sets prems based on flood maps
- Private write and service NFIP policies under own brand without retaining risk
- Not sustainable
-
Reasons US approach is unsustainable (5)
- Pool for bad risks and heavily subsidized coverage
- Backstop guarantee by the federal government, using public funds and not reinsurance
- Flood maps out of date
- Floodplain management often not enforced
- "Actuarial rates"often not actuarially sound
-
Flood insurance - France
- Bundled with other natural disasters,
- CCR is a state-owned reinsurer that private insurers can buy reinsurance from
- Cat Nat premiums of CCR are set at a uniform rate, no differentiation based on risk exposure
- Reinsurance with CCR not compulsory, but:
- Reinsurance premiums are low
- Unlimited coverage with low solvency risk due to government's backstop
-
Flood insurance - France (drawbacks)
- Public rate setting: set by government rather than based on risk.
- No incentive for risk mitigation investment
- Forces subsidization
- Public risk transfer means CCR rates are artificially low
- Strong incentive for primary insurers to reduce their retention rate
- Stresses CCR and taxpayers.
-
Advantages of private insurance over relying on government disaster relief programs (2)
- gov programs reduces hardship thru basic financial support; insurance seeks to fully compensate consumers
- gov programs encourage risky behaviour; insurance prems risk-based -> incentive for consumers to reduce risk
-
Role of gov - Areas of focus
- Invest in infrastructure
- accurate flood maps
- Restrict developments in high risk areas
- Increase public awareness to ensure HO understand risk and know how to mitigate
- Address issue of high-risks thru subsidies
-
Why did Canada not offer flood
- Already covered water damage, incl SBU and overland flood thru auto and comm prop
- Simply having a flood program is not enough. Need one that works and many international models don't work
-
IBC - 2 distinctions btw alternative flood insurance models
- Many schemes not sustainable and can lead to large public debt
- Other schemes enable compensation but premiums unaffordable to some.
- Financially sound flood program needs to price coverage based on actualrisk.
- Means high-risk consumers will pay high premiums.
-
Benefits of bundling flood
- risk-based pricing
- Encourage risk mitigation
- reduce adverse selection
- don't need to differentiate SBU and overland
- avoid reputation risk
-
4 desired considerations in flood program for Canadian market
- Bundled approach
- Risk based pricing
- Deductibles: to encourage risk mitigation
- Gov involvement: infrastructure and flood map
- eligibility: exclude highest risks
|
|