PRIOR PRE-DECISION PROBABILITY 1D
For the second component we will use a multinomial logistic regression to predict the probability of the team being in that situation given that they won the game. In this case X-Prime represents the group of variables that make up the game-state: the score margin, time remaining in the game, field position with respect to the offensive team, current down, yards to go to gain a new set of downs, and an indicator variable for possession with respect to the home team.
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