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What is geographical profiling?
- An investigative methodology that uses the locations of a connected series of crimes to determine the most probable area of offender residence" (Rossmo, 2000).
- Aims to define a search area of possible offender location NOT THE EXACT LOCATION for investigators faced with a series of crimes
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Why does X not mark the spot?
- The process is probabilistic, finding the area most likely to contain the offender
- This is not an exact location (Harries & LeBeau, 2007)
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What does geographical profiling help with?
- Investigative strategies:
- – Direct patrols and surveillance
- – Neighborhood canvassing
- – Sign posting
- – Leaflet distribution
- – Missing bodies
- – DNA screening
- Case Management
- – Prioritize suspects for interrogation
- – Search databases and records
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What is the rational choice theory?
- Clarke (1997)
- Crime is purposive behavior designed to meet the offender’s commonplace needs for such things as money, status, sex and excitement
- The balance between effort and reward depends on the type of crime
- There are individual differences in the way costs and rewards are perceived depending on things such as IQ and socioeconomic status
- Based on the nearness principle
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What is the nearness principle?
The principle that connections between places should be made at minimal cost (you should do as little travelling as possible)
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What are the assumptions of crime pattern theory?
- As people commit crime they make decisions, when these are committed regularly the decision process becomes regularised and this creates an abstract guiding template
- People rarely function as individuals but are part of a network of family that influence decisions
- The patterns of individuals can be collated to form averages
- Crime involves a triggering event and a method of locating a victim
- The more crime that is committed, the more the criminal's bank of knowledge increases and the MO changes
- People have a routine of daily actions
- Criminals move around like everyone else
- Criminals and victims intersecting activity spaces, these are used to select victims
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What factors define human movement?
- Time, effort and cost
- Individual perception of distance influenced by several factors:relative attractiveness, types of barriers, familiarity, actual distance, attractiveness of routes
- Animal foraging techniques are echoed
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Why is it hard to use the closeness principle?
Isotropic surfaces (same properties in every direction) are rarely found in human physical environment
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What is the awareness space of a criminal?
- All the locations about which a person has knowledge above a minimum level even without visiting some of them
- Awareness space includes activity space and its area enlarges as new locations are discovered and/or new information is gathered" (Clark, 1990:24-25)
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What are anchor points?
- The most important places in a criminal's spatial life
- There are preferred routes between anchor points such as a good road
- Main anchor points are often residences but can also be work or family
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How are victims chosen?
- Must fall within the awareness space
- A decision must be made on their viability by weighing up costs and benefits
- Usually not people close to home
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