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Why Unemployment is a Problem
- Lost incomes and production - ui benefits don't replace losses
- Lost human capital - prolonged unemployment damages future prospects, loss of experience and knowledge
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Working Age Population
Total pop over 15 not in institutions
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Labour Force
- Sum of employed and unemployed
- Those who want to work
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Unemployment Rate
Number of people unemployed divide by labour force * 100
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Involuntary Part Time Rate
Number of involuntary part time work divide by labour force
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Labour Force Participation Rate
Labour force divide by working age population
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Marginally Attached Worker
Not working, but wants a job and is available and has looked in recent past
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Discouraged Worker
Marginally attached worker who has stopped looking b/c of repeated failure
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Frictional Unemployment
- Arises from normal labour turnover
- people entering/leaving workforce from creation/destruction of jobs
- PERMANENT, HEALTHY
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Structural Unemployment
- Arises from changes in tech/international competition
- lasts longer than frictional
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Cyclical Unemployment
Higher than normal UE at business cycle trough and lower than normal UE at business cycle peak
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Natural Employment Rate
UE from frictions and structural change when there is no cyclical UE
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Full Employment
UE rate equals the natural employment rate
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What Influences Natural UE?
- Age Distribution of Population - many young people has lots of job seekers, high frictional
- Scale of Structural Change - skill to perform job can lose value w/ tech upheaval
- Real Wage Rate - min and efficiency wage bring UE.
- UE Benefits - increase natural UE rate b/c lowers opp cost of job search
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Efficiency Wage
Set above mkt to attract workers to attract best workers
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Output Gap
- gap b/w real and potential GDP
- as this fluctuates, UE fluctuates as well
- when + lower UE
- when - high UE
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Price Level
average level of prices
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Inflation
Persistently rising price level
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Deflation
Persistently falling price level
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Why inflation and deflation are problems
- Redistributes income - workers hired on salary, but w/o compensation for inflation
- Redistributes wealth - borrower/lender affectedÂ
- Lowers real GDP and Employment - inflation raises profits, boom in production and employment. Real GDP rises above potential. This is temporary.
- Diverts resources from production to research on inflation
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Hyperflation
Inflation at its worst. Rate of 50% per month
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CPI Consumer Price Index
Measure of average prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed basket of consumer g/s
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CPI basket
- contains g/s each weighted by relative importance (ex bus ride vs house)
- average household
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Monthly CPI survey
statscan checks prices on goods in basket monthly and aims to measure changes in price, not qty bought or qty increase in package
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Calculating CPI
- Find cost of cpi at base period prices
- Find cost of cpi at current period prices
- Calculate cpi for current and base period
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CPI =
cost of cpi basket current divide cost of cpi basket at base
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Inflation Rate
cpi this year - cpi last year divide by cpi last year
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Biased CPI
- New goods - compare computer with typewriter
- Quality change - items get better every year, this improvement is part of price increase
- Commodity Substitution - people buy whats cheaper, cpi ignores substitutionÂ
- Outlet Substitution - higher prices = more walmart use
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GDP Deflator
- index prices of all items included in GDP
- = Nominal gdp divide by real gdp *100
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Chained Price Index for Consumption (CPIC)
- index of prices of all items included in consumption expenditure of gdp
- = nominal consumption expend. divide by real consump. expend. *100
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Core Inflation Rate
Inflation rate that excludes volatile elements
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