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Business Cycle
- -Alternating periods of economic growth and contraction
- -measured by changes in real GDP
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Peak
- -phase of business cycle
- -real GDP reaches max after rising during a recovery
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Recession (Contraction)
- -downturn in business cycle
- -real GDP declines
- -unemployment rate rises
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Trough
- -phase in business cycle
- -real GDP reaches min after falling during a recession
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Recovery (Expansion)
- -upturn in the business cycle
- -real GDP rises
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Economic Growth
-expansion in national output measured by annual percentage increase in a nation's real GDP
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Leading Indicators
-variables that change before real GDP changes
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Coincident Indicators
-Variables that change at the same time that real GDP changes
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Lagging indicators
-Variables that change after real GDP changes
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Unemployment Rate
-the % of people in the civilian labor force who are without jobs and actively seeking them
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Civilian Labor Force
- -number of people ages 16 and older who are employed or who are actively seeking a job
- -excludes armed forces, homemakers, discouraged workers, and other persons not in the labor force
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Discouraged Worker
-a person who wants to work, but who has given up searching for work because he or she believes there will be no job offers
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Frictional Unemployment
- -Unemployment caused by the normal search time required by worked with marketable skills
- -changing jobs, initially entering the labor force, reentering the labor force, or seasonally unemployed
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Structural Unemployment
-Unemployment caused by a mismatch of the skills of workers out of work and the skills required for existing job opportunities
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Cyclical Unemployment
-Unemployment caused by the lack of jobs during a recession
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Full Unemployment (Natural Rate)
-economy operates at an unemployment rate equal to the sum of frictional + structural unemployment rates
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GDP gap
Difference between actual real GDP and potential or full-employment real GDP
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Inflation
an increase in the general (avg) price level of goods and services in the economy
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Deflation
-a decrease in the general (avg) price level of goods and services in the economy
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Consumer Price Index (CPI)
-measures changes in the average prices of consumer goods and services
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Base Year
a year chosen as a reference point for comparison with some earlier or later year
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Disinflation
a reduction in the rate of inflation
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Nominal Income
the actual number of dollars received over a period of time
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Real Income
the actual number of dollars received (nominal income) adjust for changes in the CPI.
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Wealth
the value of the stock of assets owned at some point in time
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Nominal Interest Rate
the actual rate of interest without adjustment for the inflation rate
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Real Interest Rate
the nominal rate of interest minus the inflation rate
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Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM)
a home loan that adjusts the nominal interest rate to the changes in an index rate, such as rates on Treasury securities
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Demand-pull Inflation
a rise in the general price level resulting from an excess of total spending (demand)
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Cost-push Inflation
an increase in the general price level resulting from an increase in the cost of production
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Hyperinflation
an extremely rapid rise in the general price level
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Wage-price Spiral
a situation that occurs when increases in nominal wage rates are passed on in higher prices which in turn results in even higher nominal wage rates and prices
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