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public policy
an intentional course of action by government to deal with some problem or concern
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Stages of the Public Policy Process:
- 1. Problem Recognition and Definition 5. Budgeting - can fund or de-fund policies
- 2. Agenda Setting - prioritizing issues 6. Policy Implementation - execution
- 3. Policy Formulation - mulling the ideas 7. Policy Evaluation - did it work?
- 4. Policy Adoption - by political process
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social welfare policy
government programs designed to improve quality of life
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Different Kinds of social welfare policies
- � Income Security - gov't. activity started with the Depression and FDR's New Deal
- � Health Care - paid for with private insurance, Medicare and Medicaid
- � Public Education - local, state, and federal funding; "equalization"
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Social Security Act
1935 law est. old-age insurance; public assistance for children, the poor, and others; and unemployment insurance
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entitlement programs
all those meeting eligibility criteria are "entitled" to the $; also require "mandatory" spending: funds must be provided if no change in law
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poverty level
federal measurement; in 2009, $22,050 annual income for a family of four
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why people are poor
unemployment, lack education/skills, bad work habits; disability, drug use, mental illness; child of poor parents, illegitimacy, divorce
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means-tested programs
- help those with income below a designated level
- * Supplemental Security Income (SSI) - $ to disabled needy people
- * TANF (Temporary Assistance for Needy Families); $164 - $500 + per month
- * Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) - subsidizes low-wage workers; politically popular
- * Food Stamps - subsidize both the poor and farmers; run by the Agriculture Dept.; also WIC (women, infants, & children), school lunches & breakfasts
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Welfare Reform (1996)
AFDC had seemed to encourage illegitimacy and dependency, and help create a permanent underclass; so, AFDC was replaced with TANF: added work requirements, 5-yr. lifetime limit on aid
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non-means-tested programs
- provided regardless of income level (everyone can get it)
- * Social Security - for seniors, 65+ (and survivors and disabled); max $2,323 per month, funded with 12.4% payroll tax (paid - by employer, - by employee)
- * Unemployment - weekly payments for unemployed workers; states manage, avg. pay from $235 (MS) to $641 (RI) per week; funded with 1-10% payroll tax on employer
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Social Security Trust Fund
not individual accounts, but a federal "fund" holding IOUs; in 2016, SS will start paying out more $ than it takes in, in 2037 it'll be bankrupt
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ways to save social security
tax hikes, benefit cuts, later retirement, means-testing, private accounts
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Medicare
for those receiving SS benefits (65+)(non-means tested); drug benefit added in 2003; funded with 2.9% payroll tax (half and half), but bankrupt by 2017 {health care for old people/seniors}
- Medicaid
- for needy (means-tested) under TANF and SSI; states manage; pay for families under 133% to 185% of poverty level {health care for poor people/needy}
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health care costs
rose dramatically ca. 1990 and 2000-today; public spending has also jumped in those periods (see Figs. 17.3 & 17.4); Medicaid is eating up state budgets
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uninsured
up to 45 million, or 15% of US; by un- or under-employment, youth, choice, pre-existing conditions
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potential health care reforms:
- * single-payer system - government provides insurance for private health care services
- * single-provider system - government-run health care, as in Canada, Great Britain; aka "socialized medicine", veterans
- * mandatory health insurance coverage - to be required in Massachusetts by July, 2007; subsidized, goal to create near-universal coverage, personal mandate
- * market reforms - expanded HSAs, tax breaks, more flexible regulations to encourage more competition
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Public Education
- spending inequalities - since - funded with property taxes; states use equalization plans
- competition - through:
- * voucher plans (e.g., Milwaukee, Cleveland) - can help the poor escape bad schools; opposed by teachers' unions, liberal groups, wealthy suburbanites; upheld by S.C.
- * charter schools - provide an alternative to standard schools; free of many regulations; some 800 now in 23 states & D.C. for over 165,000 students
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economic stability
growth, rising incomes, "full" employment, and low inflation
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inflation
general rise in prices; caused by scarcity of goods or too much $ in circulation
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Recession
a short-term decline in growth: investment and production fall, and unemployment grows; technically, two straight quarters of negative GDP growth
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GDP (gross domestic product)
total value of all goods and services produced
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business cycle
regular expansion and recession of modern market economies
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laissez faire
"leave alone" policy; calls for limited government role in the economy, allowing free markets; the "unseen hand"
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1930s interventionism
government takes an active role in the economy; financial reforms (banking, securities, etc.), agriculture, labor, industrial regulations
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regulations
economic and social (including environmental) expanded in 1960s, '90s; regulation generally slows, channels economic activity
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deregulation
in 1970s and '80s, most actively under Reagan; by laws and exec. orders
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If you want more, subsidize it; if you want less, tax it.
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Monetary Policy
control of the national money supply and interest rates
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effects of the monetary policy
low interest rates spur growth; high rates stunt growth {loose money can cause inflation, improve trade balance}
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Federal Reserve Board (FRB, or "The Fed")
adjusts the money supply: sets the discount rate and member banks� reserve requirements; 7 members w/14-year terms
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Alan Greenspan
very respected and successful Fed Chairman (1987 - 2006)
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Keynesianism
gov't. spending or tax cuts put new money into the economy to increase growth; tax increases, spending cuts can slow the economy, inflation; "demand" side
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Supply-side ("classical") economics
lower marginal tax rates encourage work, production, investment, and thus employment; tax cuts may not cut revenues
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Laffer curve
shows how, at some point, high tax rates start to shrink revenues
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"Rubenism"
1990s CW in D.C.; small deficits/surpluses lower interest rates, thus help the economy grow; taxes are OK if they balance the budget; but no correlation
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trade is good; free trade helps all national economies, but can lead to dislocations in some industries; pros and cons
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NAFTA
North American Free Trade Agreement (1993), among US, Mexico, Canada
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WTO
World Trade Organization (1995), leads negotiations to lower tariffs
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Protectionism
trade limits; can temporarily prop up sick industries (but not for long)
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Office of Management and Budget (OMB)
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est. 1921; prepares president�s budget; often trims agency requests
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Congressional Budget Office (CBO)
est. 1974; reviews, reports budget to House and Senate; made Congress less dependent on OMB
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authorization
first Congress has to vote to authorize the spending of money
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appropriations
then Congress votes to have the government actually spend the money; usually 13 appropriations bills are passed each year for the federal budget
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continuing resolutions
allows agencies to operate at last year's budget levels until new appropriations bills can be passed
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Budget Act of 1974
Congress (the spenders) gave itself more power in the budget process; created CBO; larger deficits have been the rule since then
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Deficit
budget shortfall in one fiscal year
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surplus
budget overage in one fiscal year
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Debt
sum of budget deficits (- surpluses) over all years; bad if it grows as % of GDP
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baseline budgeting
starts from next year's presumed growth, not this year's spending; no increase or an increase below that "baseline" is called a budget "cut"
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A Tax and Budget Summary, 1970s - 2010
- Recession Economy Taxes Spending Events Deficits
- 1970s 1974, '80 Stagflation Creep up Grows Malaise Grow
- 1980s 1981-82 Boom Cut, '81 Grows Big Cold War Grow Big
- 1990s 1990-91 Boom, esp. stocks Raised, '90 & 93; cut �96 Shrinks Market boom/bubble Shrink; surpluses
- 2000s 2000-01
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Housing bust, big banks fail Cut, '01, '03
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Increases proposed Grows Big
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Explodes Afghan, Iraq wars, terrorism
Financial meltdown Grow Big
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Explode
2010s Slow growth Cuts expire, new taxes Stays Big Obamacare Massive
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Growth limits debt % of GDP
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Isolationism
policy to avoid participation in foreign affairs
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Internationalism
policy of active participation in foreign affairs; stronger since WWII
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Unilateralism
policy to act without consulting (many) other nations
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multilateralism
policy to cooperate, consult with other states before acting
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Tariffs
taxes on imports to raise funds and protect domestic industries
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Monroe Doctrine
1823 pledge to oppose any European expansion into the Western Hemisphere; Roosevelt Corollary stated US responsibility for stability
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manifest destiny
idea that the US was divinely mandated to expand to the Pacific
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collective security
if one country is attacked, all others come to its defense; the premise behind the League of Nations, the UN, NATO, etc.
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United Nations (UN)
global organization for collective security, global well-being
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IMF
International Monetary Fund; stabilizes exchange rates among major currencies
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World Bank
provides loans for large development projects; aid is conditional
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USSR
Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, Soviet Russia (1917-1992); �Red Army�
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Iron Curtain
armed borders of communist countries: walls to keep people in, not out
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Containment
opposition to expansion of Soviet power, esp. in Europe and Asia; NSC-68
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NATO
North Atlantic Treaty Organization (1950); collective security for W. Europe
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Communist "Red" China (1949-now)
Mao Zedong's forces def. Chaing�s Nationalists
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hot wars
(US {and soviets} troops fight) Korea (1950-53), Vietnam (1954-75),Grenada (1983)
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skirmishes (US {and soviets} funds surrogates)
Iran, Cuba, Africa (many), Afghanistan (1979-87), Nicaragua, El Salvador
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Cuban Missile Crisis (1962)
- Soviets tried to deploy IRBMs in Cuba; Kennedy blockade Cuba, threatened invasion; Krushchev backed off, and took the missiles out; nearest we've ever come to a nuclear war
- D'tente
- relaxation of tensions between US and USSR in the 1970s; marked by . . .
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(nuclear) arms control
SALT, SALT II (defeated in Senate, 1979), START talks
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Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI)
Reagan's missile defense, bypassed '72 ABM Treaty
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Deterrence
military response capabilities that prevent enemies from attacking; e.g. MAD{mutual assured destruction
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cold=don't actually fight - verbal war. Hot=fought through surrogates - not them but people supported by us or them
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president
pre-eminent in foreign and military policy; centralizes information, authority; can act quickly and decisively
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State Department
chief foreign policy bureaucracy; "Foggy Bottom"
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Department of Defense (DoD)
military bureaucracy, in Pentagon; heads armed forces
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Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)
collects and analyzes information and intelligence about foreign countries and events; gets data from DIA, NSA, etc.
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National Security Council (NSC)
advises president on foreign and military affairs
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Dept. of homeland Security (DHS)
created after 9/11 to coordinate domestic US security efforts against terrorism
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Congress
agenda-setting, oversight, approves treaties & ambassadors (Senate), appropriations; passed War Powers Act, restrained CIA in 1970s
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non-governmental organizations (NGOs)
promote development, lobby for foreign policy positions, actions: e.g. Amnesty International, Int�l. Red Cross, Greenpeace
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allies
most significant (militarily) are Great Britian, Israel, Key western democracies
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"Israelism"
radical Muslim agenda to destroy the West & infidels, esp. Jews
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three kinds of radical movements:
- * Islamist Shia - ruling mullahs of Iran (1979-); took US Embassy hostages, fund Hezbollah, Iraq's al Sadr, many other terrorist groups
- * Islamist Sunni - esp. Wahabbist fundamentalists: anti-modern, global, Saudi-funded
- * fascist Baathists - Assad's Syria, Saddam Hussein's Iraq; totalitarian thugs
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America's Foreign Wars
- Years US Name of War; Causes, Why Fought;
- Involved - President Results
- 1991 Gulf War Iraq invasion of Kuwait, threat to Saudi oil fields
- - Bush 41 Saddam expelled from Kuwait, survives; Saudis defended
- 2001-now Afghan War 9/11 attacks; attempt to destroy al-Qaeda (�the base�)
- - Bush/Obama Taliban destroyed; bin Laden escapes
- 2003-09 Iraq War Iraqi aggression, WMD, terrorist ties, failed attrition
- - Bush Saddam deposed; insurgency, first Arab democracy
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