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IMF International Monetary Fund
- -try to bailout countries imbalances or equity issues
- -helping countries in trouble
- -crisis management criticized
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Spot Exchange
happens on the day, it is the current exchange rate, changes daily
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Forward Exchange:
sign today but don't make exchange till later, unbiased predictor of future spot exchange rate
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calculation of premium
F(forward)x -spot exchange rate / spot exchange rate X 12/# of months X 100 (to get percent)
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Factors Influencing Currency Value: ECONOMIC
- balance of payments
- interest rates
- inflation
- monetary and fiscal policies
- international competitiveness
- monetary reserves
- gov't control and incentives
- importance of currency to the world
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Price Difference and Absolute PPP
- -law of one price
- -competitive markets free of transportations costs and trade barriers, identical products sold in different countries
- -must sell for the same price when their price is expressed in terms of same currency
- example: US/Japan = 1$ to 120 yen, so a jacket in new york that sells for 50 should be sold for 6000, 50 X 120
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Purchasing power party
-by comparing the prices of identical products in difference currencies, it should be possible to determine the 'real' or PPP exchange rate if markets are efficient
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-International Bank for Reconstruction and Development -created to rebuild Europe war-torn economies
- -overshadowed by the Marshall Plan
- -turns to development
- -lending money to developing nations for a long-term -examples: education, population control
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Role of IMF
- - surveillance of exchange rate policies
- -short term financial assistance (including credits and loans) - technical assistance (expertise in fiscal/monetary policy)
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Crisis Management of IMF
- -IMF role expanded to meet the various crisis
- -plans of deflationary measures/austerity
- 1. currenceny
- -thailand
- 2. banking
- -non-performing loans, can't get people to pay them back -giving out bad loans and not being able to get them back 3. foreign debt
- -borrowed too much money, can't pay it back
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Four Basic Strategies
- global/standardization
- localization/multi domestic strategy
- transnational
- international strategy
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REI Regional Free Trade Block
-WTO believes this (REI) is the first step to overall globalization of economy/agreement -easier to reach agreements between agreement between two parties, bilateral agreement -> just two parties -agreement amount countries in a geographic location to reduce and ultimately remove tariffs and NTBs to free flow of goods services and factors of production amount each other
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